Borrowing Is Becoming More Expensive: What Does an Increase in Interest Rates Imply for Michigan?

Borrowing money for everything from mortgages and credit cards to other sorts of loans will be more expensive as regulators attempt to calm the economy after inflation touched a 40-year high this month.

The Federal Reserve raised the interest rate on the fed-funds rate, which is the basis for business and consumer lending, on Wednesday. It rises a quarter of a percentage point to 0.5 percent.

In Michigan, where the economy is still rebuilding from the pandemic, the ramifications are enormous. Automakers in the state are already experiencing supply problems as the cost of automobile loans rises. At the same time, property prices in Michigan increased by 14% in 2021, owing in part to low mortgage rates, and residents of the state owe an average of $5,399 on credit cards.

Economists forecast that interest expenses would rise this year as the rate paid by banks increased, therefore the Federal Reserve’s decision was expected.

Officials warned, however, that because the Russian invasion of Ukraine has rattled the world’s economies, more rate hikes are expected.

According to a statement made by the Federal Reserve Board on Wednesday, the repercussions of the invasion on the US economy are “very unknown.” According to the Federal Reserve Board, the Russian incursion is expected to keep inflation rising – at least in the medium term.

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Borrowing Is Becoming More Expensive: What Does an Increase in Interest Rates Imply for Michigan?

Fuel prices have been particularly unpredictable as the world has shunned shipments from Russia, one of the world’s major suppliers, and President Joe Biden has prohibited imports to the US.

Gas prices in Michigan have risen $1.42 a gallon in a year, costing drivers an extra $21 every 15-gallon buy. According to AAA Michigan, the average statewide rate was $4.21 on Wednesday, compared to $4.30 nationally.

Consumers are also paying more for a variety of items: According to figures issued last week by the government Bureau of Economic Analysis, overall annual inflation reached 7.9% in February.

Beef prices have risen by 16 percent, flour by 12 percent, bacon by 19 percent, and milk by 11 percent in the last year. Without the recent gas price spikes, energy expenses have increased by 25%, while secondhand car prices have increased by 41%. Clothing, shoes, and services all saw a 4 to 7% increase.

In comparison, the Federal Reserve has established an inflation target of 2%.

Food and energy expenses are not included in economists’ and the Federal Reserve’s major measures of inflation. In February, the so-called “core inflation” of all other spending reached 6.4 percent, which was close to the 6.3 percent forecast by University of Michigan economists that month.

However, they claim that the rate hikes that began on Wednesday will bring it down to a year-end average of 5.5 percent.

According to the most current U-M projection, “when the Fed raises rates, supply chains stabilize and demand cools.”

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Borrowing Is Becoming More Expensive: What Does an Increase in Interest Rates Imply for Michigan?

According to the National Mortgage Bankers Association, the housing industry is already suffering mortgage rate rises as a result of inflation and the invasion. With the rate hike, the increases are certain to continue.

According to the MBA, the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage jumped to 4.27 percent last week, the highest since May 2019. Rates have risen by nearly a full percentage point since last year.

The number of new mortgage applications fell 1% over the previous week, while the number of refinancing applications fell 3%.

According to the University of Michigan research, low mortgage rates “compensate for high pricing.” As a result, “affordability will significantly degrade during the next two years.”

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After a year of rising pricing for things such as wood, cement, and other materials, home builders in Michigan are already anticipating higher building costs this year.

Rate hikes are another source of concern, but they’re “not as significant as other growing costs in terms of some weakening in demand that we’re seeing,” according to Bob Filka, president and CEO of the Michigan Association of Home Builders.

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“Other soaring material costs, as well as the inability to foresee the delivery of many components used in home construction, have had a greater negative impact than an increase in interest rates.”

Due to the epidemic, the fed-funds rate has been falling since July 2019, when it went to near zero in 2020.

Since then, government stimulus money has provided a safety net for many Americans, including those in Michigan, where income has risen and expenditure has remained high.

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